17. Underestimate of own inaccuracy
As well as any human, I inclined to be
mistaken, that is connected as with the basic unreliability of a human brain
connected with the likelihood nature of its work, and with incompleteness of my
knowledge of the world and skills of elimination of errors. I can know nothing
on 100 % because reliability of my brain is not equal 100 %. I can check up
reliability, having solved a series of logic problems of average complexities,
and then having counted quantity of errors. However usually it is not happened,
and own inaccuracy is estimated intuitively. Precisely also human usually does
not measure a characteristic inaccuracy of the judgments about the future
though it probably to make experimentally: for example, to write the forecast
of public life for year or five years and then to compare.