1. Mess between probability, as a measure of variability of
object, and confidence degree, as a measure of the information on object

The first concerns likelihood process, for example,
to radioactive disintegration, and the second to unknown process - for example,
to card guessing. However global risks concern the phenomena, estimating which
we are compelled to state likelihood judgments about processes, which
simultaneously both likelihood, and unknown to humans. Here we start to speak
about degree of confidence of this or that probability. In this case the
probability and confidence degree are multiplied.