9. Erroneous representation that when
problem arises there will be time to prepare for it
Most serious problems arise suddenly. The more serious a problem, the greater its energy and—usually—the faster the threat develops after it initially emerges. This makes it all the more difficult to prepare for. Global catastrophes are powerful problems. Therefore they can develop too quickly to prepare for. We do not have experience which would allow us to define harbingers of global catastrophe in advance. Analogously, auto accidents occur suddenly. There may not be time to prepare after signs of the problem appear; we need to forecast it in advance and get safeguards in place. An analogous situation would be Hurricane Katrina causing water to rise above the levees in New Orleans. If New Orleans were adequately prepared in advance, it would have built levees tall enough to hold back water from even the worst foreseeable storms. But it did not, and catastrophic damage resulted. By the time the hurricane is sighted on radar, it is already too late.