42. Excessive intellectual criticism or skepticism

Safety is often threatened by improbable coincidences or circumstances. Therefore, a “long tail” of strange ideas can be useful. Before narrowing down a narrow range of failure scenarios, it is helpful to brainstorm as many ideas as possible, including the most weird. The problem, however, is that it is much easier to criticize something than it is to come up with a solid risk, which may cause analysts to dismiss crazy-sounding ideas prematurely.