34. Futurology is split across
different disciplines
as though the underlying processes occur independently
There are several variants or genres of
thinking about the future, and they have the propensity not to be
interconnected in the intellectual world or in thoughtspace
very much, as if these futurist domains were in entirely different worlds.
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Forecasts
around the theme of accelerating change, NBIC convergence, and the Singularity.
Supercomputers, biotechnologies, and nanotechnology.
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Forecasts
of system crises in economy, geopolitics and warfare. This tends to be a
different crowd than the Singularity crowd, though there is some overlap.
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Forecasts
in the spirit of traditional futurology, such as demographics, resource
limitations, global warming, et cetera.
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Special
type of forecasts for big catastrophes: asteroids, supervolcanoes,
coronal mass ejections from the Sun, the Earth's magnetic field flipping, and
so on.
To accurately predict the future, we
must reconcile data from each of these domains and take a holistic view.