32. A group of people can make worse decisions than each person separately

Depending on the form of organization of a group, it can promote or interfere with the development of intelligent decisions. A good example might be a scientific research institute, a bad example would be a mob or a country in the middle of civil war. The influence of a crowd can bring the thinking level down to the lowest common denominator26. The “wisdom of crowds” is often better suited to estimating the number of gumballs in a large jar than making highly complex, technical decisions. That is why most “expert surveys” are restricted to a relatively small number of experts. The majority of people do not have knowledge to make complex decisions, and should not be asked to. Until there is a uniform decision making and threat evaluation process for global risk, we are probably in a sub-par situation.