2. Excessive attention to slow processes and underestimation of fast processes
Slower processes are more convenient for analysis and prediction, and tend to have more data useful for interpreting them. However, dynamic systems are more likely to adapt to slow processes and collapse from fast processes, making it more important to examine fast processes in the context of global risk, including those which seem improbable at first glance. A sudden catastrophe is much more dangerous than a slow decline, as there is less time to prepare for it or intelligently respond. Many emerging technologies of the 21st century—nanotechnology, biotechnology, Artificial Intelligence—concern fast processes which are poorly understood. This does not mean that slow threats shouldn't be analyzed as well, just that we should be aware of a natural tendency to ignore fast processes and focus only on slow ones.